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Star Interference: How We Judge Teams

There is some astonishment right now with the San Antonio Spurs winning a title without some MVP-level player. But there shouldn’t be. There is more information than ever. There is an astounding amount, in fact, and if you have access to deep databases there’s information on the position of every single player during every split […]

Predicting a Finals MVP

In the nearly fifty years the Finals MVP has been awarded, it has been given to a player on the losing team only once. Oddly enough, as many fans know, this happened during the first year of the award; Jerry West won after a scorching series where he scored 38 a game and barely lost […]

Miami’s Chances After Game 1 Loss

In a seven game series, even when you’re certain of how strong each team is, the odds aren’t easy to directly calculate. You have to account for every possibility and the homecourt alternating. However, when you do this, Miami’s chances are bleak. Going into the series, I estimated San Antonio’s strength at +8.7 (they’d beat […]

Preview by Point Differential: 2014 NBA Finals

In the media, LeBron’s rival was supposed to be Kobe Bryant. No one expected LeBron to face Tim Duncan and the Spurs for a third time in the Finals, but maybe we should be appreciative. Duncan is regularly labeled as the best power forward ever, but LeBron is on the path to clinching the title […]

LeBron James’ Legacy In Numbers

Ever since Michael Jordan retired, the media has been on the lookout for the next Jordan. Unfortunately, this meant young superstars were compared to Jordan’s standards, instead of their own merits. Given his high level of play, virtually everyone was being set up to fail, but even if you matched his absurdly high value you […]

Spurs-Thunder, Game 5: Ibaka and Bonner

The Spurs made a surprising change to their starting lineup on Thursday, but it shouldn’t be much of a surprise: Popovich’s signature style is not one tangible thing, but is instead adaptability. He’s flexible and has vastly changed his defensive and offensive philosophies over the years based on his personnel and the trends and strengths […]

Why We Use Per Possession/Minute Stats

Editors’ note: I’d like to welcome aboard Justin Willard to the Analytics Game team. He’s been writing very interesting, must-read pieces on his own site, ascreamingcomesacrossthecourt.blogspot.com. He will now be contributing full-time to the site, so enjoy. — Evan Sidery There’s a divide between NBA fans and the analytics contingent. This divide is being breached […]

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