Which States Produce More NBA Players?

Arguments about state superiority in the NBA are common. There are still west coast versus east coast fights with Chicago or the whole state of Illinois sneaking in. Sometimes there are articles on how many NBA players hail from each state, but they can lack detail or context: California has the population of a fairly large-sized nation by itself, so it naturally produces many athletes. And a state that has three bench warmers does not compare to one with a superstar.

How do we adjust for those? Let’s measure the states by how many NBA player minutes they produce. For example, Texas nets 2498 minutes from LaMarcus Aldridge in 2014. Then we convert these numbers into per million residents values so we can fairly compare California and, say, Alabama. Finally, I use population estimates from 1986 — it’s roughly when the average player was born — because I’m working with birthplace stats here. A few million people born in California since the year 2000 has no relation to how many adult athletes a state has created.

A complete table is provided below with the stats for every state. Note this only uses minutes from 2014. California supplies a sixth of the NBA talent, but that’s largely due to population. Note that with a single season per capita values are easily influenced with small states. Alaska, for example, only has one player, Marion Chalmers, and rates as one of the best. That doesn’t even count Carlos Boozer, who grew up there, because he was born in Germany on a military base. (This is what the “military” row means in the table.) But the winner by far is the District of Columbia with a rate nearly 6 times the average. The reigning MVP Durant and his 3000 plus minutes trace their origins to D.C., and with a population near half a million he has a great effect. However, it’s not just him: D.C. has five other players. It’s a basketball powerhouse.

StateTotal minutes% of NBA MinutesPer Million Residents
Alabama74811.31874
Alaska21780.44002
Arizona17360.3525
Arkansas80541.43454
California7357512.42715
Colorado11390.2352
Connecticut26530.4823
Delaware00.00
DC73351.211492
Florida212483.61821
Georgia194293.33193
Hawaii00.00
Idaho11410.21152
Illinois224293.81970
Indiana265764.54873
Iowa56731.02032
Kansas1610.066
Kentucky32180.5873
Louisiana204473.44640
Maine00.00
Maryland175663.03915
Massachusetts33750.6572
Michigan104851.81149
Minnesota56541.01345
Mississippi87311.53366
Missouri104041.72071
Montana00.00
Nebraska00.00
Nevada11930.21217
New Hampshire6900.1673
New Jersey167682.82200
New Mexico4490.1307
New York271634.61523
North Carolina132902.22102
North Dakota00.00
Ohio192363.21793
Oklahoma39180.71205
Oregon67341.12509
Pennsylvania203493.41727
Rhode Island330.034
South Carolina102551.73068
South Dakota17070.32452
Tennessee83561.41763
Texas346515.82092
Utah00.00
Vermont00.00
Virginia55450.9954
Washington196793.34420
West Virginia34050.61809
Wisconsin55830.91174
Wyoming9560.21929
Military49450.8NA

It’s easier to digest the results visually. The map below shows player minutes per million residents translated into a shade of red. Patterns are more apparent this way. The south produces a lot of basketball player, specifically Louisiana; the Rockies and New England are wastelands. Indiana has the highest rate for the 50 states, and it sticks out in the Midwest even next to basketball rich Illinois.

NBA players by states2

The northeast is pretty crowded, so I made a separate map for them. The entire Maryland-D.C. region is strong. They have a strong argument over historic New York City for basketball dominance, based on per capita stats.

NBA players by states northeast2

Of course, there are other ways of visualizing where players come from. This will lead to future posts looking at countries and then high schools, as that is crucial in basketball development. But for now, the D.C. area reigns supreme.

Quantcast